Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.028989 0.033750 0.038994 0.045188 0.052299 0.060199 0.069633
2025-10-05 0.022928 0.029402 0.037185 0.047199 0.059709 0.074784 0.094292
2025-10-12 0.018556 0.025890 0.035403 0.048574 0.066254 0.089070 0.120640
2025-10-19 0.014504 0.021842 0.032035 0.047103 0.068656 0.098193 0.141516
2025-10-26 0.011831 0.019084 0.029797 0.046581 0.071975 0.108654 0.165251
2025-11-02 0.009594 0.016496 0.027284 0.045112 0.073500 0.116502 0.185950
2025-11-09 0.007943 0.014489 0.025272 0.043987 0.075206 0.124581 0.207670
2025-11-16 0.006828 0.013154 0.024088 0.043933 0.078467 0.135251 0.234407
2025-11-23 0.005750 0.011680 0.022413 0.042747 0.079587 0.142440 0.256088
2025-11-30 0.005290 0.011261 0.022521 0.044673 0.086251 0.159502 0.296028
2025-12-07 0.004663 0.010404 0.021677 0.044703 0.089449 0.170810 0.327011
2025-12-14 0.003983 0.009312 0.020212 0.043316 0.089785 0.176945 0.349208
2025-12-21 0.003475 0.008511 0.019232 0.042801 0.091823 0.186592 0.379246
2025-12-28 0.003291 0.008401 0.019672 0.045256 0.100063 0.208851 0.435499
2026-01-04 0.003055 0.008124 0.019710 0.046861 0.106744 0.228741 0.489110
2026-01-11 0.002642 0.007346 0.018509 0.045578 0.107159 0.236122 0.518461
2026-01-18 0.002341 0.006790 0.017735 0.045141 0.109334 0.247287 0.556583
2026-01-25 0.002026 0.006136 0.016623 0.043749 0.109181 0.253495 0.584855
2026-02-01 0.001772 0.005594 0.015699 0.042672 0.109600 0.260929 0.616406
2026-02-08 0.001598 0.005248 0.015221 0.042627 0.112435 0.273939 0.661349
2026-02-15 0.001399 0.004786 0.014360 0.041479 0.112438 0.280519 0.692448
2026-02-22 0.001340 0.004741 0.014632 0.043354 0.120191 0.305740 0.768533
2026-03-01 0.001219 0.004475 0.014243 0.043384 0.123237 0.320135 0.820620